Research Article
A Data-Characteristic-Driven Decomposition Ensemble Forecasting Research on the Demand of Space Science Payload Components
Table 7
Experimental results of the proposed model and comparison model.
| Model | Performance evaluation | Training set | Testing set | MSE | MAPE | RMSE | SDAPE | |
| ARIMA | 2.0375 | 4.2755% | 0.4858 | 4.2329 | 40% | GM(1,1) | 2.5430 | 6.3494% | 0.6975 | 6.2861 | 40% | ANN | 3.8137 | 4.8912% | 0.6155 | 4.8426 | 40% | MPSO-SVR | 0.0001 | 6.7824% | 0.7679 | 6.7147 | 0% | EMD-CC&CV-MPSO-SVR | 0.2985 | 3.3381% | 0.3414 | 3.3047 | 100% | EEMD-MPSO-SVR | 0.0013 | 3.8326% | 0.4497 | 3.7944 | 60% | EEMD-CC-MPSO-SVR | 0.2887 | 2.4358% | 0.2959 | 2.4115 | 100% | EEMD-CV-MPSO-SVR | 0.1396 | 3.9024% | 0.4460 | 3.8635 | 40% | EEMD-GS-SVR | 0.1572 | 3.4780% | 0.4151 | 3.4434 | 60% | EEMD-CC&CV-GA-SVR | 0.0949 | 3.4233% | 0.4385 | 3.3893 | 60% | EEMD-CC&CV-PSO-SVR | 0.1096 | 4.7800% | 0.4776 | 4.7322 | 80% | EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-ANN | 0.1026 | 4.2522% | 0.4831 | 4.2098 | 60% | EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-LSTM | 0.1583 | 3.9122% | 0.4609 | 3.8732 | 40% | EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-SVR | 0.0628 | 2.5215% | 0.2774 | 2.4963 | 100% |
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