A Data-Characteristic-Driven Decomposition Ensemble Forecasting Research on the Demand of Space Science Payload Components

Table 9

Robustness analysis.

Model	Standard deviation
	Training set	Testing set
	MSE	MAPE	RMSE	SDAPE
ARIMA	0.0452	0.0206	0.1294	0.4197	0.1373
GM(1,1)	0.0440	0.0173	0.0975	0.3278	0.1174
ANN	0.0353	0.0109	0.1082	0.5034	0.1281
MPSO-SVR	0.0236	0.0084	0.0755	0.1425	0.0821
EMD-CC&CV-MPSO-SVR	0.0059	0.0068	0.0643	0.2968	0.0733
EEMD-MPSO-SVR	0.0126	0.0072	0.0858	0.1476	0.1142
EEMD-CC-MPSO-SVR	0.0121	0.0043	0.0430	0.1322	0.0616
EEMD-CV-MPSO-SVR	0.0046	0.0038	0.0324	0.1237	0.1105
EEMD-GS-SVR	0.0123	0.0031	0.0327	0.1020	0.1100
EEMD-CC&CV-GA-SVR	0.0037	0.0017	0.0115	0.0914	0.1046
EEMD-CC&CV-PSO-SVR	0.0034	0.0026	0.0217	0.1132	0.0894
EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-ANN	0.0116	0.0034	0.0329	0.1181	0.0616
EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-LSTM	0.0128	0.0165	0.0532	0.2657	0.0979
EEMD-CC&CV-MPSO-SVR	0.0025	0.0014	0.0106	0.0812	0.0447