Probabilistic Evaluation of Tibetan Plateau Mesoscale Vortex on 18 July 2013

Figure 7

Correlation (color shading) between TPMVI and 500 hPa GPH in the 50-member forecast for next 0 to 84 h (12 h interval) is shown in (a–h) and for next 90–108 h (4-time average, 1800 UTC 17 July–1200 UTC 18 July) in (i) initialized at 0000 UTC 14 July 2013. The black contours and green vectors show the difference of 500 hPa GPH (contours; unit: gpm) and wind (vectors; unit: m/s) between six stronger and six weaker members (six stronger members minus six weaker members). The asterisk shows the significant location of the correlation according to the synoptic system's coherent rules. The blue boxes in Figures 7(a)–7(i) show the area with correlation coefficient roughly beyond the 95% confidence level nearby WPSH, and the black boxes indicate the TPMV over the SCB, respectively.

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(i)