Research Article
A New Production Prediction Model Based on Taylor Expansion Formula
Table 9
The actual data and the prediction data of the cumulative production of Bavly [
10] oilfield.
| year | t(a) | cumulative production (million tons) | | | T | L | G&H | T | L | G&H | practical data | prediction data n=2 | | | prediction data n=7 | | |
| 1959 | 12 | 2450 | 2318.789 | 2500.6 | 2465.9 | 2446.3177 | 2500.6 | 2465.9 | 1960 | 13 | 2830 | 2836.9906 | 2843.1 | 2864.3 | 2843.0266 | 2845.2 | 2864.9 | 1961 | 14 | 3200 | 3281.8253 | 3186.2 | 3250.6 | 3195.8839 | 3198.9 | 3253.5 | 1962 | 15 | 3565 | 3667.8429 | 3520.6 | 3618.8 | 3549.8524 | 3553.6 | 3624.2 | 1963 | 16 | 3905 | 4005.9848 | 3841.4 | 3966.5 | 3900.8663 | 3900.9 | 3971.4 | 1964 | 17 | 4235 | 4304.637 | 4146.3 | 4293.0 | 4236.546 | 4233.2 | 4291.7 | 1965 | 18 | 4535 | 4570.3352 | 4434.4 | 4598.8 | 4547.2328 | 4544.1 | 4583.2 | 1966 | 19 | 4805 | 4808.2484 | 4706.0 | 4884.4 | 4827.7119 | 4828.6 | 4845.1 | 1967 | 20 | 5065 | 5022.5182 | 4961.5 | 5152.1 | 5076.3844 | 5083.2 | 5077.8 | 1968 | 21 | 5305 | 5216.5021 | 5201.7 | 5402.2 | 5294.047 | 5305.6 | 5282.3 | 1969 | 22 | 5515 | 5392.9507 | 5427.5 | 5636.3 | 5482.8775 | 5494.9 | 5459.8 | 1970 | 23 | 5665 | 5554.1387 | 5639.9 | 5855.7 | 5645.7241 | 5650.8 | 5612.0 | 1971 | 24 | 5785 | 5701.9639 | 5839.8 | 6061.5 | 5785.6499 | 5773.9 | 5740.6 | 1972 | 25 | 5895 | 5838.0216 | 6028.1 | 6254.7 | 5905.6629 | 5865.2 | 5847.6 | 1973 | 26 | 5995 | 5963.6633 | 6205.6 | 6436.5 | 6008.568 | 5926.1 | 5934.6 | 1974 | 27 | 6085 | 6080.0409 | 6373.2 | 6607.7 | 6096.8977 | 5958.4 | 6003.4 | 1975 | 28 | 6170 | 6188.1426 | 6531.6 | 6769.2 | 6172.8895 | 5963.7 | 6055.7 | 1976 | 29 | 6240 | 6288.8208 | 6681.4 | 6921.7 | 6238.4913 | 5944.1 | 6093.1 | 1977 | 30 | 6300 | 6382.8148 | 6823.3 | 7065.9 | 6295.3804 | 5901.4 | 6117.0 | 1978 | 31 | 6350 | 6470.7689 | 6957.9 | 7202.4 | 6344.9897 | 5837.5 | 6128.7 |
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